Many liberal pundits often predict that Trump’s MAGA followers will desert him every time he breaks one of his campaign promises. Except for the Epstein files, these predictions have not come to fruition. The latest prediction of a MAGA revolt is over Trump’s Iran war, which began on February 27. The polls so far tellContinue reading “MAGA Revolt over Iran War? “
Tag Archives: Polls
Trump Approval Rating in the Second Term
Much has been made of Trump’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case and the passage of the so called Big Beautiful Bill. Subsequently, It usually takes a week or so before events like these register in the polls. It generally takes a few days to conduct them and they are expensive. Often the news mediaContinue reading “Trump Approval Rating in the Second Term”
Trump’s Standing in the Polls So Far
It has been 27 days since Trump took office. He has been bolder with executive orders and DOGE than in his first term. For this post I thought would take a closer look at Trump’s standing in the polls so far. Today, the Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of Trump’s approval ratings has him atContinue reading “Trump’s Standing in the Polls So Far”
Debate Boost for Trump Nationally, Not in PA
More than a week has passed since the debate between Trump and Biden. Even with the 4th of July holiday there has been a wealth of polls on the race showing Biden losing ground. Since June 27, Trump’s lead has grown from 1.5% to 3.4% in a 2 way race according to Real Clear Polling.Continue reading “Debate Boost for Trump Nationally, Not in PA”
Update on the Vote for the Greatest Nonfiction Book of All Time
In 2018, I saw that PBS had an online poll called the Great American Read for the best novel or series of novels. To Kill a Mockingbird won the poll followed by Outlander (series), Harry Potter (series), Pride and Predjudice, and The Lord of the Rings trilogy. Wuthering Heights (of which the title of myContinue reading “Update on the Vote for the Greatest Nonfiction Book of All Time”
My Take on “Stats Bros”
I came across an article in The Nation Magazine titled “Stats Bros” Are Sucking the Life Out of Politics by Leif Weatherby and had to comment. The “Stats Bros” he is talking about are media gurus like Steve Kornacki (pictured above) at MSNBC and Nate Silver at ABC’s 538. Mostly, they use poll data toContinue reading “My Take on “Stats Bros””
Trump Indictments and His Popularity
Primary Standing A lot has been made about the Trump indictments and his popularity in the Republican primary field. The graph above of the Real Clear Politics (RCP) moving average of Polls for the GOP field. Trump’s support did receive a 5% boost after the first indictment for a payment to a porn star cameContinue reading “Trump Indictments and His Popularity”
Exit polls explain Democratic Victories in Pennsylvania
The people at the Trump rally last week in Latrobe must have been disappointed with Tuesdays election outcome. Victories for Democrats in Pennsylvania included State Sen. Doug Mastriano lost to Attorney General Josh Shapiro to become the next Governor of Pennsylvania, 56% to 42%. Likewise, Dr. Mehmet Oz lost to Lt Gov John Fetterman forContinue reading “Exit polls explain Democratic Victories in Pennsylvania”
Who’s ahead in Midterms? Depends on How Poll Sample is Selected
The 2022 midterm elections are upon us. Usually the party that is out of power gains seats but this year may be different. Above is the list of recent generic congressional polls published by Real Clear Politics (RCP). The question in these polls generally take the form, “In general, for whom do you plan toContinue reading “Who’s ahead in Midterms? Depends on How Poll Sample is Selected”
Post Roe Reversal and Cassidy Hutchinson Polls on Trump and the GOP
It has been a week since SCROTUS reversed their Roe vs. Wade decision on abortion and made other revolting decisions on guns, school prayer and the environment to name a few. It has also been about 5 days since former White House aide Cassady Hutchinson gave damning testimony on Trump’s role in the Jan 6Continue reading “Post Roe Reversal and Cassidy Hutchinson Polls on Trump and the GOP”