Allegheny Independent Media

Allegheny Independent Media

Is the Shutdown the Tipping Point for Trump?

Previously I reported on how Trump’s approval ratings have remained remarkably consistent in the face of revelations of scandals and the separation of immigrant children from their families.  Since then Trump’s Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of approval ratings took a brief dip from 43% to 40% in the events surrounding Sen. John McCain’s funeral andContinue reading “Is the Shutdown the Tipping Point for Trump?”

Early Results for the Best Nonfiction Poll

It has been one month since this online poll has begun.  There have been 27 responses to the poll so far with a wide variety in the books receiving votes.  Of the 112 books listed, 69 received at least one vote.  The top vote receivers so far are listed below. Title, Author (Year) Votes (%)Continue reading “Early Results for the Best Nonfiction Poll”

New Sports and Math Post On Darply and an Update on Trump’s Approval Ratings

I have a new post on sports and statistics on the news site Darply. Featured prominently in this article is former Baltimore Ravens center John Urschel who retired from the NFL to pursue a PhD at MIT in Mathematics.  You can see another interview he recently gave on Amanpour and Company at the link below.  Continue reading “New Sports and Math Post On Darply and an Update on Trump’s Approval Ratings”

Trump is Popular on the Economy but not Foreign Policy

Much has been written about how Trump’s popularity inched up from a low of 37% (according to the Real Clear Politics (RCP) poll average) in December 2017 to 43% in June of 2018.  It has stubbornly remained around 43% ever since as can be seen in the graph above.  His disapproval ratings have fluctuated betweenContinue reading “Trump is Popular on the Economy but not Foreign Policy”

Cambridge Analytica was Behind the Results I Found on Facebook and the 2016 Election

    The Cambridge Analytica (CA) story may have fallen on the back burner because of the March for Our Lives (rightly) and Stormy Daniels (wrongly).  Mother Jones magazine published a detailed chronology of how it became involved in the 2016 election.  First they were partnered with Ted Cruz’s campaign.  They claimed credit for hisContinue reading “Cambridge Analytica was Behind the Results I Found on Facebook and the 2016 Election”

Trump Approval Rating in Pennsylvania Now at 35%, What is it for Cambria County?

  Last Sunday Meet The Press (the worlds longest running television series, not The Simpsons) announced the results of a poll they conducted in the pivotal states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin of President Trump’s current approval ratings in those states.  His approval ratings in these states are 36%, 35%, and 34% respectively with aContinue reading “Trump Approval Rating in Pennsylvania Now at 35%, What is it for Cambria County?”

As The ACA (Obamacare) Replacement Fails, the ACA and Single Payer are More Popular than Ever

The past weeks events regarding the proposed ACA (or Obamacare) repeal and replacement must be causing some amusement among Barack Obama and his minions.  The question remains: Where do we go from here?The Real Clear Politics Average of public opinion polls has shown a steady increase in support for the ACA since the November election. Continue reading “As The ACA (Obamacare) Replacement Fails, the ACA and Single Payer are More Popular than Ever”

US Life Expectancy Decreases and Those Who Want the Affordable Care Act Expanded Increases

This month it has been reported that life expectancy in 2015 in the US has decreased for the first time since 1993.  The decrease was from 78.9 years in 2014 to 78.8 in 2015.  The reasons for this decrease are unclear though the overall death rate increased by 1.2% last year.  The top causes ofContinue reading “US Life Expectancy Decreases and Those Who Want the Affordable Care Act Expanded Increases”

Facebook Followings Predict The Outcomes of Elections in PA

Candidate Election Result  in PA (%) FB followers  Nov 8 FB engaged  Nov 8 % engaged  Nov 8 Net gain  Nov 8 % Gain Nov 8 Clinton (D) 47.61 16,771 52,344 312.1       5,847 53.5 Trump (R) 48.83 44,222 6,394 14.5     31,160 238.6 Johnson (L) 2.39 764 47 6.2               33 4.5 Stein (G)Continue reading “Facebook Followings Predict The Outcomes of Elections in PA”

The Facebook and Twitter General Election

RCP % Avg Facebook Followers FB Engaged Engagement Rate Twitter Followers AUG Hillary Clinton (D) 43.6 5,547,499 1,295,347 23.4 8,337,769 Donald Trump (GOP) 37.4 10,330,409 1,830,303 17.7 10,951,732 Gary Johnson (L) 8.5 1,136,694 722,290 63.5 296,212 Jill Stein (G) 3 516,508 246,290 47.7 209,567 Hal Boyd (I) With the dust finally settled from the conventions,Continue reading “The Facebook and Twitter General Election”