Last week, I looked at the % of the county population that is non-Hispanic White predicting county case mortality and vaccination rates. There was a positive correlation between this percentage and case mortality and a nearly equal negative correlation between this percentage and vaccination rates in these counties. This week I’ll take a look atContinue reading “Ethnicity Predicts Case Mortality and Rural Population Predicts Vaccination”
Category Archives: Analysis
Thanksgiving Reflections on the Election in Cambria County
Fifteen days have passed since November 9. The red wave turned out to be a ripple on the national level. Just as the GOP barely gained control of the U.S. House of Representatives, the Democrats barely gained control of the PA state house for the first time since 2010. The Democrats gained a net ofContinue reading “Thanksgiving Reflections on the Election in Cambria County”
Percent Non-Hispanic White and Broadband Access Predict County COVID Vaccination & Case Mortality Rates
I thought I would take a break from politics to look at how demographics and local broadband access predict COVID vaccination rates and case mortality. The above graph shows a strong positive correlation between the percentage of the county that is non-Hispanic white and the case mortality. A possible outlier might be Huntingdon county withContinue reading “Percent Non-Hispanic White and Broadband Access Predict County COVID Vaccination & Case Mortality Rates”
Exit polls explain Democratic Victories in Pennsylvania
The people at the Trump rally last week in Latrobe must have been disappointed with Tuesdays election outcome. Victories for Democrats in Pennsylvania included State Sen. Doug Mastriano lost to Attorney General Josh Shapiro to become the next Governor of Pennsylvania, 56% to 42%. Likewise, Dr. Mehmet Oz lost to Lt Gov John Fetterman forContinue reading “Exit polls explain Democratic Victories in Pennsylvania”
Chuck Pennacchio on the State of Democracy in Pennsylvania, the U.S., and Beyond
Today I had a nice conversation with Healthcare for All PA founder, former U.S. Senate candidate, and historian Chuck Pennacchio on Democracy in Pennsylvania and the U.S. He has written for Oped News on ways to fight fascism. We discussed a variety of topics such as the state of democracy in Pennsylvania and the U.S.,Continue reading “Chuck Pennacchio on the State of Democracy in Pennsylvania, the U.S., and Beyond”
PA Democrats Coming Down to the Wire in the ’22 Midterms
The PA Senate race is coming down to the wire for Democrats. The PA Senate debate between Lt. Gov. John Fetterman and Dr. Mehmet Oz elicited a mixed reaction from pundits. John Nichols at The Nation magazine said Fetterman was brave to debate Oz while still recovering from his stroke. Steve Peoples and Marc LevyContinue reading “PA Democrats Coming Down to the Wire in the ’22 Midterms”
Income, Child Care, Traffic Volume & Home Ownership Predict COVID Case Mortality
In the last post, regression models for school funding and men’s and women’s income were presented as predictors for COVID case mortality (COVID deaths/COVID cases). A Facebook reader asked me to explain the models and measures. Case Mortality is an estimate of the risk of dying if one catches COVID. The regression model estimates howContinue reading “Income, Child Care, Traffic Volume & Home Ownership Predict COVID Case Mortality”
Men & Women’s Income, School Funding Adequacy & COVID Case Mortality
In my last statistical post I wrote about food insecurity, motor vehicle crash death rates and COVID Case mortality in the 10 county region. For this post, I thought I would write about school funding adequacy, men and women’s income and case mortality. County Health Rankings defines school funding adequacy as “The average gap inContinue reading “Men & Women’s Income, School Funding Adequacy & COVID Case Mortality”
COVID Case Mortality Predicted by Percent Food Insecure & Motor Vehicle Mortality
I thought I would return to COVID case mortality prediction by County Health Rankings statistics not included in the overall rankings but are still Illuminating. The image above shows the relationship between the percentage of the county that is food insecure and the case mortality rate from COVID. It shows a significant positive relationship accountingContinue reading “COVID Case Mortality Predicted by Percent Food Insecure & Motor Vehicle Mortality”
Who’s ahead in Midterms? Depends on How Poll Sample is Selected
The 2022 midterm elections are upon us. Usually the party that is out of power gains seats but this year may be different. Above is the list of recent generic congressional polls published by Real Clear Politics (RCP). The question in these polls generally take the form, “In general, for whom do you plan toContinue reading “Who’s ahead in Midterms? Depends on How Poll Sample is Selected”