Working on a data set and then posting it on this blog (or putting it in a presentation for work) takes a long time. In The Nation Magazine I read an article that must have taken a long time to put together on white voters fear of diversity and their likelihood to vote for Trump. Continue reading “McElwee and McDaniel Validate my Analysis on Hate Groups and Trump”
Tag Archives: politics
Turnout Higher in US House 2016 Races in PA than State House Races (but not as High as in Statewide Races)
Vote Totals in 2016 Total Office GOP Dem Green Libertarian Other Total State House 2,670,014 2,445,871 5,729 8,333 22,657 5,152,604 Total US House 3,096,576 2,625,156 0 22,245 0 5,743,977 President 2,970,764 2,926,457 49,947 146,709 21,569 6,115,446 US Senate 2,951,771 2,865,009 235,161 6,051,941 State Atty G 2,891,320 3,057,002 5,948,322 Auditor General 2,667,315 2,958,811 158,943 131,851 5,916,920Continue reading “Turnout Higher in US House 2016 Races in PA than State House Races (but not as High as in Statewide Races)”
Democratic State House Candidates More Likely to be Unopposed than GOP Candidates in PA
Party of Winner total D R Unopposed N 36 77 113 Y 45 (56%) 45 (37%) 90 Total 81 122 203 With all the news about the Green Party calling for a recount in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. I thought I would take a look at the state house races inContinue reading “Democratic State House Candidates More Likely to be Unopposed than GOP Candidates in PA”
Facebook Followings Predict The Outcomes of Elections in PA
Candidate Election Result in PA (%) FB followers Nov 8 FB engaged Nov 8 % engaged Nov 8 Net gain Nov 8 % Gain Nov 8 Clinton (D) 47.61 16,771 52,344 312.1 5,847 53.5 Trump (R) 48.83 44,222 6,394 14.5 31,160 238.6 Johnson (L) 2.39 764 47 6.2 33 4.5 Stein (G)Continue reading “Facebook Followings Predict The Outcomes of Elections in PA”
Taking Stock Now that the Primaries Are Almost Over….
There’s be a sense of deflation now that it’s pretty clear that Bernie Sanders is not going to get the nomination. Many were crying foul when the Associated Press announced that Hillary Clinton had secured enough delegates to win the night before the California, New Jersey, and 3 other states had primaries. Many were especiallyContinue reading “Taking Stock Now that the Primaries Are Almost Over….”
My Raging Chicken Press Interview
I was interviewed on a Pennsylvania progressive podcast called Raging Chicken Press on recent posts on this blog related to the election and the concentration of hate groups in Pennsylvania and the US. The audio podcast is above and the youtube video of it can be seen below. It was conducted at a coffeeContinue reading “My Raging Chicken Press Interview”
Divergent Movements in PA Primary in Cambria County for Bernie and Trump
2016 Election Map for PA Democratic Primary The headlines from this year’s Pennsylvania Primary were that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have all but clinched the nomination of their respective parties for President with their wins on April 26. Clinton won Pennsylvania with 55% of the vote while Trump won with 57% carrying all 67Continue reading “Divergent Movements in PA Primary in Cambria County for Bernie and Trump”
The Facebook and Twitter Primary in Iowa
FB Followers FB Engaged FB Eng Rate Twitter Following RCP Avg IOWA Bernie Sanders 19135 22212 1.16 4272 45.3% Hillary Clinton 16661 5918 0.36 21742 45.5% Martin O’Malley 5.0% I received a lot of comments on my post on the Twitter and Facebook primaries and the national polls. One of them said I did notContinue reading “The Facebook and Twitter Primary in Iowa”
Twitter and Facebook Primary Democratic Update: Engagement Matters Most
FB Followers Dec Engaged Dec Engagement rate Dec Gain in FB Followers Twitter followers RCP Poll Avgerage Dec Hillary Clinton 2,160,862 450,105 0.208 951,683 5,049,765 53.3% Bernie Sanders 2,296,730 425,935 0.185 1,071,178 1,105,792 32% Martin O’Malley 104,179 2,516 0.024 27,226 119.145 3.5% With only three data points in the Democratic race for President, there isContinue reading “Twitter and Facebook Primary Democratic Update: Engagement Matters Most”
Twitter and Facebook Primary Update: The GOP Stretch Run
With the holiday season winding down the stretch run in Iowa and New Hampshire I thought I would take another look at how the candidates Facebook and Twitter followings associate with their Real Clear Politics (RCP) polling averages. There are 3 candidates left in the democrats and 12 left for the GOP. There were 13Continue reading “Twitter and Facebook Primary Update: The GOP Stretch Run”