Concentration of Hate Groups Predict Hate Crimes (if you consider DC) and Trump Vote (if you don’t)
November 26, 2016

Concentration of Hate Groups Predict Hate Crimes (if you consider DC) and Trump Vote (if you don’t)

Earlier this year the Southern Poverty Law Center created a map showing the concentration of hate groups in the US.  I adjusted the number of groups in each state by the population in each state  showing a different picture.  Just after the election the FBI issued a new report that hate crimes in the US […]

On Facebook, Fake News, and the Election
November 18, 2016

On Facebook, Fake News, and the Election

  There has been a flurry of stories regarding fake news on Facebook and what role it may have had on the election outcome.  Some of these stories are summarized on my Facebook page.  The above clip features Craig Silverman discussing a study he did looking at the engagement (likes, comments, and shares with their […]

November 12, 2016

Facebook Followings Predict The Outcomes of Elections in PA

Candidate Election Result  in PA (%) FB followers  Nov 8 FB engaged  Nov 8 % engaged  Nov 8 Net gain  Nov 8 % Gain Nov 8 Clinton (D) 47.61 16,771 52,344 312.1       5,847 53.5 Trump (R) 48.83 44,222 6,394 14.5     31,160 238.6 Johnson (L) 2.39 764 47 6.2               33 4.5 Stein (G) […]

Cambria State Senate and House Races:
October 24, 2016

Cambria State Senate and House Races:

This upcoming election is pivotal.  Not just at the Presidential level but also at the State and Local level.  The current makeup of the PA State Senate is 31 Republicans and 19 Democrats.  With a pickup of 3 out of 50 seats (6% of the total senate seats) for the Republicans there, they will be […]

October 18, 2016

A Post Debate/Video “Trickle Down” Effect for Democrats in PA?

Correlation in the Gain in Facebook Followers and Poll Numbers for GOP Presidential Candidates in December Last week I summarized the change in Facebook followers pre and post Presidential Debate for a sample of the candidates in Pennsylvania.  In the primaries I showed that there was a strong correlation between the change Facebook followings of […]

Change in Facebook Followings for PA Candidates Before and After the Debate
October 10, 2016

Change in Facebook Followings for PA Candidates Before and After the Debate

Trump Followers on PA Facebook Page I had originally planned to do a post looking at Facebook pages for candidates for Pennsylvania but recent events in the campaign have forced me to update the numbers I collected on Friday before the nasty video and debate occurred.  Above is a graph showing the number of new […]

September 21, 2016

My Pre-Debate, Pre Blog Anniversary Post

It was fun comparing my high school graduating class to the class of ’16 at Bishop McCort, but now I feel that I need to weigh in the election.  Since the conventions the candidates have been focusing on things like Trump’s personality and temperament which I admit are pretty scary but I’m hearing little discussion […]

August 16, 2016

The Facebook and Twitter General Election

RCP % Avg Facebook Followers FB Engaged Engagement Rate Twitter Followers AUG Hillary Clinton (D) 43.6 5,547,499 1,295,347 23.4 8,337,769 Donald Trump (GOP) 37.4 10,330,409 1,830,303 17.7 10,951,732 Gary Johnson (L) 8.5 1,136,694 722,290 63.5 296,212 Jill Stein (G) 3 516,508 246,290 47.7 209,567 Hal Boyd (I) With the dust finally settled from the conventions, […]

June 10, 2016

Taking Stock Now that the Primaries Are Almost Over….

There’s be a sense of deflation now that it’s pretty clear that Bernie Sanders is not going to get the nomination.  Many were crying foul when the Associated Press announced that Hillary Clinton had secured enough delegates to win the night before the California, New Jersey, and 3 other states had primaries.  Many were especially […]

My Raging Chicken Press Interview
June 1, 2016

My Raging Chicken Press Interview

  I was interviewed on a Pennsylvania progressive podcast called Raging Chicken Press on recent posts on this blog related to the election and the concentration of hate groups in Pennsylvania and the US.  The audio podcast is above and the youtube video of it can be seen below.  It was conducted at a coffee […]