Hillary Clinton Won Johnstown, PA — By 83 Votes
July 12, 2017

Hillary Clinton Won Johnstown, PA — By 83 Votes

ward Hillary Trump Margin n % n % n % Hillary win eleventh ward 98 51.9 84 44.4 14 7.5 1 Kernville 152 60.8 91 36.4 61 24.4 1 Prospect 170 82.1 34 16.4 136 65.7 1 7th ward 343 63.4 177 32.7 166 30.7 1 17th ward-1 184 50.7 159 43.8 25 6.9 1 […]

May 2, 2017

Education the Best Predictor for Trump Support in PA Counties

Trump marked the first 100 days milestone of his campaign with a rally in Harrisburg the State Capitol touting his achievements and his plan to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act.  In my last post I looked at uninsured trends in the state.  This time I will look at uninsured, poverty rates, educational attainment […]

McElwee and McDaniel Validate my Analysis on Hate Groups and Trump
March 17, 2017

McElwee and McDaniel Validate my Analysis on Hate Groups and Trump

Working on a data set and then posting it on this blog (or putting it in a presentation for work) takes a long time.  In The Nation Magazine I read an article that must have taken a long time to put together on white voters fear of diversity and their likelihood to vote for Trump.  […]

February 18, 2017

2016 Hate Group Concentration Predicts Trump % of the Vote

This week the Southern Poverty Law Center came out with it’s hate map for 2016.  They found an increase in the total number of hate groups in the US from 892 in 2015 to 917 in 2016.  For the last three years I have been adjusting the hate group numbers for the population in the […]

Another David and Goliath Super Bowl?
February 4, 2017

Another David and Goliath Super Bowl?

The match up in Super Bowl LI between the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons resembles the matchup in New England’s first Super Bowl win.  Super Bowl XXXVI (37 in Arabic numerals) was a match-up between the Patriots and the St. Louis Rams.  In 2002, the Patriots had an unproven young quarterback in Tom […]

Turnout Higher in US House 2016 Races in PA than State House Races (but not as High  as in Statewide Races)
December 12, 2016

Turnout Higher in US House 2016 Races in PA than State House Races (but not as High as in Statewide Races)

Vote Totals in 2016 Total Office GOP Dem Green Libertarian Other Total State House 2,670,014 2,445,871 5,729 8,333 22,657 5,152,604 Total US House 3,096,576 2,625,156 0 22,245 0 5,743,977 President 2,970,764 2,926,457 49,947 146,709 21,569 6,115,446 US Senate 2,951,771 2,865,009 235,161 6,051,941 State Atty G 2,891,320 3,057,002 5,948,322 Auditor General 2,667,315 2,958,811 158,943 131,851 5,916,920 […]