Allegheny Independent Media

Allegheny Independent Media

GOP Congress Enthusiastic About Protecting Trump? Actions Speak Louder Then Words

Much has been said about the Impeachment of Donald Trump.  On Wednesday there was 11 hours of debate.  One GOP Congressman even compared the proceedings in the house to the trial of Jesus before Pontius Pilate.  All GOP Congressmen and did vote against impeachment with three Democrats.   The graph above shows that the vote onContinue reading “GOP Congress Enthusiastic About Protecting Trump? Actions Speak Louder Then Words”

Facebook Primary: Page Likes Predict Democrat Support (Except for Joe Biden)

Four years ago I showed that a candidate’s following on Facebook predicted their support in the polls at this point four years ago.  It predicted 70.6% of the variability for Republicans and 75.6% of it for Democrats.  I thought I would lake a look at how the candidates fare with Facebook and Twitter in the DemocraticContinue reading “Facebook Primary: Page Likes Predict Democrat Support (Except for Joe Biden)”

Jeffrey Epstein and Scientists

I saw an article in The Nation Magazine by Katha Pollitt titled Jeffrey Epstein’s Science of Sleaze where she is shocked that scientists like Stephen Hawking, Oliver Sacks, and Lawrence Krauss would associate themselves with such a creep.  For me the answer is simple, with the shrinking funds for scientific research, scientists almost have to throw themselvesContinue reading “Jeffrey Epstein and Scientists”

State Hate Group Rate Still Predicts Trump State Approval Rating

Morning Consult Map of Trump Net Approval Ratings  Last week The Southern Poverty Law Center came out with its annual hate group estimates for each state.  I commented on how they produced a hate map with the numbers.  You can see how Trump’s net approval rating in the map above corresponds the the population adjustedContinue reading “State Hate Group Rate Still Predicts Trump State Approval Rating”

Polls Preventing Trump from Shutting Down Government Again

Happy Valentines Day All.  One month ago I posted on how Trump’s approval ratings have decreased while the 35 day government shutdown was going on from 42.5% in the Real Clear Politics Average on Dec 23 to 41% when it ended.  In the few weeks thereafter, his rating has improved back to a little aboveContinue reading “Polls Preventing Trump from Shutting Down Government Again”

2020: Rarin to Go

It even surprises me to see how many candidates have thrown their hats into the Presidential ring for 2020.  Elizabeth Warren, Tulsi Gabbard, Julian Castro, and Kirsten Gillibrand.  The Guardian lists three others of whom I have never heard: State Sen. Richard Ojeda (D-WV), Businessman Andrew Yang, and Former Congressman John Delaney.  They also list atContinue reading “2020: Rarin to Go”

Is the Shutdown the Tipping Point for Trump?

Previously I reported on how Trump’s approval ratings have remained remarkably consistent in the face of revelations of scandals and the separation of immigrant children from their families.  Since then Trump’s Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of approval ratings took a brief dip from 43% to 40% in the events surrounding Sen. John McCain’s funeral andContinue reading “Is the Shutdown the Tipping Point for Trump?”

New Sports and Math Post On Darply and an Update on Trump’s Approval Ratings

I have a new post on sports and statistics on the news site Darply. Featured prominently in this article is former Baltimore Ravens center John Urschel who retired from the NFL to pursue a PhD at MIT in Mathematics.  You can see another interview he recently gave on Amanpour and Company at the link below.  Continue reading “New Sports and Math Post On Darply and an Update on Trump’s Approval Ratings”

An Update on Data Journalism and Darply

I’ve been forced to move back to Pennsylvania so it has been harder to find the time to post to this blog.  The eighth anniversary of this blog is coming up and I will be preparing the anniversary post.  I have found time to write an article on the new data journalism site Darply on hateContinue reading “An Update on Data Journalism and Darply”

Trump is Popular on the Economy but not Foreign Policy

Much has been written about how Trump’s popularity inched up from a low of 37% (according to the Real Clear Politics (RCP) poll average) in December 2017 to 43% in June of 2018.  It has stubbornly remained around 43% ever since as can be seen in the graph above.  His disapproval ratings have fluctuated betweenContinue reading “Trump is Popular on the Economy but not Foreign Policy”