Last week I looked at gross changes in the voter registration rolls in Cambria County. This week I’m looking at how many of these changes were due to pepole switching parties. The Department of State provides these numbers for 2018. The graph above shows the number of voters who have switched from 2014-2018.
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Cambria County
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2014
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2016
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2018
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% Change ’14-‘18
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% Change ’14-‘16
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% Change ’16-‘18
|
|
Democrat
|
48,417
|
45,378
|
41,332
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-14.7
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-6.4
|
-8.9
|
|
Republican
|
27,475
|
32,756
|
33,261
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+21.1
|
+19.2
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+1.5
|
|
Other
|
8,287
|
8,714
|
8,580
|
+3.5
|
+5.2
|
-1.5
|
|
Population
|
137,386
|
134,313
|
133,054*
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-3.2*
|
-2.2
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-1.0*
|
|
*2017 estimates
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The light green bar shows the number of Democrats switching to Republican for each year. The largest increaseby far was in 2016 with 2,523 switching. In the same year an additional 665 switched their registration from other to Republican. The total gain in GOP registration from 2014-2016 was 5,281. The number switching in 2016 accounted for 60.4% of this gain. In 2018 the gain for Republicans was 505 but the number switching to Republicans was 848 from Democrats and 198 from others. This suggests that the number of new registrants are not picking the GOP and other voters are now either inactive or have left the area.
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