I have been reading Nate Silver’s book The Signal and the Noise, about how hard it is to make predictions even when we have complete data. I tend to be a slow reader so I’ve been reading it for a while. Finally I got to the chapter on his years as a professional poker player. Continue reading “Managing Predictions with Bayes Theorem”
Tag Archives: Gambling
Probability
My recent post on Lance Armstrong received a high number of pageviews in one week (it’s already my second all time most read post behind Income and Life Expectancy. What does it Tell Us About US) but a low number of comments and a relatively short average visit time. That suggests to me that whileContinue reading “Probability”