Allegheny Independent Media

Allegheny Independent Media

Income, Child Care, Traffic Volume & Home Ownership Predict COVID Case Mortality

In the last post, regression models for school funding and men’s and women’s income were presented as predictors for COVID case mortality (COVID deaths/COVID cases). A Facebook reader asked me to explain the models and measures. Case Mortality is an estimate of the risk of dying if one catches COVID. The regression model estimates howContinue reading “Income, Child Care, Traffic Volume & Home Ownership Predict COVID Case Mortality”

Men & Women’s Income, School Funding Adequacy & COVID Case Mortality

In my last statistical post I wrote about food insecurity, motor vehicle crash death rates and COVID Case mortality in the 10 county region. For this post, I thought I would write about school funding adequacy, men and women’s income and case mortality. County Health Rankings defines school funding adequacy as “The average gap inContinue reading “Men & Women’s Income, School Funding Adequacy & COVID Case Mortality”

COVID Case Mortality Predicted by Percent Food Insecure & Motor Vehicle Mortality

I thought I would return to COVID case mortality prediction by County Health Rankings statistics not included in the overall rankings but are still Illuminating. The image above shows the relationship between the percentage of the county that is food insecure and the case mortality rate from COVID. It shows a significant positive relationship accountingContinue reading “COVID Case Mortality Predicted by Percent Food Insecure & Motor Vehicle Mortality”

County Health Rankings and COVID Case Mortality

I finished being at the Juneteenth festivities in Johnstown and am ready to get back to county health rankings (CHR) and local COVID numbers. Case mortality (the number of deceased divided by the number of cases) will be the focus of this post. Two weeks ago, I focused on vaccination rates in the 10 county region. CaseContinue reading “County Health Rankings and COVID Case Mortality”

County Health Rankings Statistics and COVID Vaccination Rates

I have talked in the last few posts about COVID rates and County Health Rankings (CHR). I flagged significant correlations between the rates and the rankings (greater than 0.632 or less than -0.632 for 10 counties). While the rankings are easy to explain and are often quoted in the media, the individual statistics (more thanContinue reading “County Health Rankings Statistics and COVID Vaccination Rates”

County Health Rankings predict COVID Mortality in the 10 County Area

Last year I looked at COVID mortality and County Health Rankings (CHR) numbers for the whole state of PA. This year, the state does not make cumulative mortality numbers readily available. This makes updating the numbers subject to copying error. For this year, I thought I would focus on ten county region surrounding Cambria County.Continue reading “County Health Rankings predict COVID Mortality in the 10 County Area”

PA Health Behavior Measures Correlate More with Trump % of the vote than with COVID Case Mortality

  Last week I posted on COVID Case Mortality and County Health Ranking (CHR) measures.  I also posted that there was a stronger correlation between the health behaviors and Trump’s % of the vote than with COVID case mortality.  This week I will look at which individual county statistics used by CHR are the best predictorsContinue reading “PA Health Behavior Measures Correlate More with Trump % of the vote than with COVID Case Mortality”

Rates of Smoking and Social Associations Predict PA County COVID Case Mortality

Two weeks ago I looked at the correlation between COVID case mortality and Trump’s % of the vote in 2020 for Pennsylvania counties and six sub measures used to determine County Health Rankings.  The measure that was most strongly associated with COVID case mortality was the health behavior z-score (a higher z score is worse)Continue reading “Rates of Smoking and Social Associations Predict PA County COVID Case Mortality”

County Health Ranking Factors that Predict COVID Case Mortality in PA

This is the 3rd installment of my posts on case mortality in Pennsylvania.  Before I explained case mortality and looked at counties with the highest rates.  This time I’m looking at which County Health Ranking factors predict COVID Case Mortality at the county level.  This is done to see which health issues occurring in theseContinue reading “County Health Ranking Factors that Predict COVID Case Mortality in PA”

Hate Groups do not Predict Trump % in 2020. It did in 2016

The Southern Poverty Law Center has come out with it’s 2020 hate map showing the concentration of hate groups in the US as seen above.  The total number of groups that they follow nationally went down in 2020 to 838 from 940 in 2019.  The high point for hate groups during the Trump years wasContinue reading “Hate Groups do not Predict Trump % in 2020. It did in 2016”